There’s no better way to enjoy a primetime matchup than by building a same-game parlay. The problem? Most SGPs are longshots designed to drain your bankroll. Those flashy +1,000,000 tickets look fun, but they almost never cash. The books want you to bet on those! At FTN, we take a different approach to SGPs.
Using our Same-Game Parlay Tool, powered by 10,000 simulations for every matchup, we identify spots where the odds are actually mispriced. That means you’re not just throwing darts, but you’re building parlays with real edges, even when the payouts are big.
AdvertisementAdvertisementAdvertisementCarolina Panthers @ San Francisco 49ers Same-Game Parlay
Sunday brings a matchup between two teams whose records don’t quite match their profiles. Carolina sits at 6-5, but the underlying numbers paint a much less flattering picture — 26th in total DVOA, worse than even the 2-10 Giants (at least entering Week 12). They’ve survived on close wins and timely plays, and Bryce Young is fresh off the best performance of his young career. He’ll need another big one, because San Francisco is positioned to put up points in bunches.
Brock Purdy looked fully back in command last week as the 49ers’ offense finally resembled the juggernaut it was expected to be. Even without Brandon Aiyuk, this is the healthiest group they’ve fielded all year, and it showed when they dropped 41 on Arizona in Week 11. With Carolina’s defensive cracks and San Francisco’s passing game trending up, this sets the stage for a Same Game Parlay built around a big night through the air for the Niners.
This one is a three-leg same game parlay that you should check out on BetMGM.
AdvertisementAdvertisementAdvertisementLeg 1: Brock Purdy Over 250.5 Passing Yards
Brock Purdy only threw 26 times last week, but he looked fully healthy and highly efficient, averaging 7.7 yards per attempt. Carolina has been one of the worst pass defenses in football, ranking 26th in DVOA, and they consistently give up explosive plays through the air. With San Francisco trending upward offensively, this sets up as a strong spot for Purdy to clear this number.
Leg 2: Christian McCaffrey Over 43.5 Receiving Yards
Christian McCaffrey is averaging nine targets in the three games Brock Purdy has played this season, and he has topped 40 receiving yards in every game. His role as a safety valve and matchup nightmare is fully intact, and Carolina has struggled to contain pass-catching backs all year. His versatility should shine again, making this receiving line very reachable.
AdvertisementAdvertisementAdvertisementLeg 3: Jauan Jennings Over 44.5 Receiving Yards
Even with Ricky Pearsall back last week, Jauan Jennings remained the go-to option, leading the team in targets. He finally looks healthy, and now he gets a vulnerable Panthers secondary that has struggled to cover bigger, physical receivers. With his role stabilizing and the 49ers expected to throw plenty, Jennings is set up for another productive outing.
FTN’s NFL Betting Resources
NFL Simulation Model
NFL Prop Tool
DVOA Game Projections
Bet Tracker with Expert Picks
Jeff Ratcliffe’s Player Props
NFL Same Game Parlay Tool
DVOA Rankings
Prop Shop
Parlay Odds Shop
NFL Odds