Title race, relegation and more: the odds with just TWO rounds left in 🇧🇷

There are TWO rounds left, and the Brasileirão still has many issues to resolve. The title, the spots in the South American Cup, the other two relegated teams...

The battle against relegation, for example, is heating up. Santos, for instance, has a 51.4% risk. And Internacional, 40.8%.

At the top of the table, the title race is well underway, with Flamengo close to the trophy.

And the spots in the Libertadores are defined - however, the Brazilian Cup title could "shake up" this fight. Understand below.

So, who will be relegated? Who will be the champion? See the chances (numbers from the Universidade Federação de Minas Gerais) and leave your prediction!

Relegation Risk ⚠️

Sport and Juventude are already relegated. There are TWO spots left. And five teams have more than a 5% risk. So, who will go down? Share your opinion!

Sport: 100% (relegated)

Juventude: 100% (relegated)

Fortaleza: 69.5% (was 89.9%)

Santos: 51.4% (was 54.6%)

Internacional: 40.8% (was 8.1%)

Vitória: 30.6% (was 44.4%)

Ceará: 7.5% (was 1.8%)

Other teams have less than 0.2% risk, like RB Bragantino (0.15%), Atlético-MG (0.04%), and Vasco (0.02%).

Chance of Title 🇧🇷

Flamengo has a 97.2% chance of winning the title. And Palmeiras, 2.8%.

Flamengo needs a win (or two draws) to secure the trophy without relying on other results.

Palmeiras, on the other hand, will have to win BOTH games and hope that Fla earns at most one point.

Flamengo will host Ceará and visit Mirassol. And Palmeiras will play against Atlético-MG and Ceará, both away.

Libertadores Spot 🏆

Flamengo, Palmeiras, Cruzeiro, Mirassol, Botafogo, Fluminense, and Bahia are already guaranteed in the 2026 Libertadores.

Fla, Palmeiras, and Cruzeiro even have direct spots in the group stage.

Mirassol, Botafogo, Flu, and Bahia will fight for the other two spots in the G-5. Those who finish sixth and seventh will have to play the pre-Libertadores.

G-7 or G-8? 👀

The eighth Brazilian spot will be decided in the Brazilian Cup. The semifinals will feature Cruzeiro vs. Corinthians and Vasco vs. Fluminense.

The champion will go straight to the Libertadores group stage.

Important: if Cruzeiro (third in the Brasileirão) or Fluminense (sixth) wins, the G-7 will become G-8.

If this happens, São Paulo, Corinthians, Grêmio, Vasco, Bragantino, and Atlético-MG will have a chance for a spot in the pre-Libertadores.

Chance of South American Cup 🏆

Six Brazilian clubs will go to the 2026 South American Cup. See the chances:

São Paulo: 99.98%

Grêmio: 96.3%

Corinthians: 95.3%

Vasco: 85.8%

Atlético-MG: 83%

RB Bragantino: 82.2%

Ceará: 26.3%

Vitória: 13.9%

Internacional: 11.7%

Santos: 3.3%

Fortaleza: 2.2%

This article was translated into English by Artificial Intelligence. You can read the original version in 🇧🇷 here.