Buccaneers vs. Cardinals IDP fantasy breakdown for Week 13

Arizona comes into Tampa with a reshaped offense and a defense that has been under constant stress all season. From an IDP standpoint, this is one of those games where volume can quietly stack up in a hurry. You have humid conditions, potential rain in the second half, and two offenses that lean on short-area concepts. That combination usually tilts production toward linebackers and safeties more than pure edge rushers.

All scoring here reflects standard tackle weighted IDP formats.

Weather outlook

Sunday in Tampa brings classic late-season Florida chaos. The forecast calls for a high around 82, with humidity, an east-northeast wind around 7 miles per hour with gusts up to 14. Not much weather to affect this game, just cloud coverage with a less than 2% chance of rain.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

IDP and DST snapshot

The fantasy defensive backbone in Tampa still runs through Lavonte David and the safeties. David is sitting at 130.5 total fantasy points with an 11.9 per game average. He has had multiple games over fifteen points, and his floor continues to hold regardless of the matchup. With Arizona likely to lean on quick throws and inside runs, David is set up for another steady tackle-driven day.

Right behind him is SirVocea Dennis at 123.5 total and 11.2 per game. His weekly output shows real spike weeks mixed in with solid floors. When Tampa is forced to live in nickel and dime looks, he stays somewhat involved, occasionally against tight ends and the backs in the flats.

Up front, Yaya Diaby remains the most explosive rusher in Tampa at 81.5 total points and 7.4 per game. He has already flashed back-to-back games over seventeen points earlier this season. Anthony Nelson sits at 71.5 total with a 6.5 average and is far more volatile, including one massive thirty-four point eruption that skews his numbers.

Safety production is led by Tykee Smith, who is pacing the entire secondary with 152 total points and a massive 13.8 per-game average. That is elite DB1 consistency. Antoine Winfield Jr. sits at 102 total with a 9.3 average and continues to deliver splash plays on top of his tackle work.

Tampa Bay DST is very much in play this week. Arizona is banged up across the offensive line, working with a reshaped quarterback situation.

Tampa Bay trends and consistency

David and Dennis anchor the tackle floor, though David is ranked higher than Dennis. Tykee Smith has had a great year in fantasy and is one of the most reliable defensive backs in all of fantasy this season, and is a locked-in starter regardless of matchup.

Diaby brings the clearest sack ceiling on the line, while Nelson profiles as boom or bust. The rest of the defensive front rotates enough that their floors stay shaky unless they hit a splash play.

Tampa Bay injury impact

If Haason Reddick is limited or held out, Tampa loses a major edge-speed threat, and more pressure responsibility shifts to Diaby and the linebackers. If Jamel Dean is limited or sits, Arizona slot receivers and tight ends are more likely to win early in routes, which pushes even more tackle volume toward the safeties. Dean was a go for Friday's practice and looks like he'll play on Sunday.

Arizona Cardinals

IDP and DST snapshot

Arizona’s front has quietly produced one of the stronger IDP pass rushers in this matchup, with Josh Sweat sitting at 110.3 total points and a clean 10.0 per game average. His weekly output shows multiple double-digit explosions, including several games over sixteen points. Against a Tampa offense dealing with quarterback uncertainty, his pressure upside is very real. However, he sat out practice this week due to an eye injury.

Calais Campbell remains steady at 81 total points and a 7.4 average. He is no longer a volume sack artis,t but his tackle and batted ball floor remains useful in deeper leagues.

At linebacker, Mack Wilson and Akeem Davis Gaither lead the way in volume this season. Wilson posted 96 total points with a 10.7 average before landing on injured reserve. Davis Gaither remains active at 87.8 total and an 8.0 average. Cody Simon is coming on late with three straight double-digit outings across the last stretch. If you're in a pinch, check and see if Simon is on waivers.

In the secondary, Budda Baker continues to deliver at 102.8 total and 9.3 per game. Jalen Thompson actually leads Arizona in per-game consistency at 9.5 with 104.5 total. Together, they form one of the safest duos in the entire slate, much like their opponent, Tampa Bay. The corners rotate more, but provide steady depth production when they are targeted.

Arizona DST is the riskier of the two this week. They can capitalize if Tampa’s quarterback situation gets unstable, but on paper, they are more likely to live in bend but do not break territory.

Arizona trends and consistency

Sweat is the true engine of this front right now. He is the only defender in this game averaging double-digit fantasy points weekly off pressure alone, but it is unclear whether he will play. Baker and Thompson continue to act as steady volume safeties with clean tackle floors. Simon’s late surge makes him a very sneaky LB play if your league rewards volume-heavy tackling.

Arizona injury impact

With multiple linemen already on injured reserve and linebacker depth tested throughout the year, Arizona continues to lean heavily on its safeties for cleanup work in both run support and short passing defense. Wet conditions only push that role further into the spotlight.

Fantasy takeaway

This is a volume-driven IDP game with a few legitimate ceiling plays mixed in. The humidity and rain set up a second half where footing becomes unreliable, and defenders are forced into repeated tackle situations rather than chase speed-to-speed plays.

For Tampa Bay, Tykee Smith and Lavonte David are the safest starting points. SirVocea Dennis right behind them. Yaya Diaby is the best bet for sacks. Tampa Bay DST is one of the cleaner streaming options on the entire Week 13 slate.

For Arizona, Josh Sweat, if he plays, brings the most explosive upside off the edge. Budda Baker and Jalen Thompson provide steady DB floors. Cody Simon is the quiet riser who could pay off in a tackle-heavy game script.If you want stability, Tampa’s linebackers and safeties win the day. If you want sack-driven upside, Arizona’s pass rush is where that lives.

Week 13 IDP FantasyPros Consensus Rankings

Defensive line

• DL20 Josh Sweat ARI

• DL26 Yaya Diaby TB

• DL44 Calais Campbell ARI

• DL47 Anthony Nelson TB

Linebackers

• LB18 Lavonte David TB

• LB27 Cody Simon ARI

• LB32 SirVocea Dennis TB

• LB49 Akeem Davis Gaither ARI

Defensive backs

• DB1 Tykee Smith TB

• DB6 Budda Baker ARI

• DB8 Antoine Winfield Jr TB

• DB16 Jalen Thompson ARI

• DB67 Zyon McCollum TB

This article originally appeared on Bucs Wire: Bucs vs. Cardinals IDP fantasy breakdown for Week 13