Oscar Predictions: It Could Be a Big Year for Warner Bros.

Oscar Predictions: It Could Be a Big Year for Warner Bros. Collider Oscar PredictionsImage by Jefferson Chacon By  Perri Nemiroff Published 53 minutes ago Perri Nemiroff is the 2025 Press Award winner at the ICG Publicists Awards. She's the senior producer at Collider where she hosts and produces the interview series, Collider Ladies Night, a show geared towards highlighting the need-to-know female voices in film and television. On top of that, Perri frequently moderates post-screening Q&As and panels at film festivals and conventions including San Diego Comic-Con and New York Comic Con, and can be seen on the big screen in the Noovie pre-show segment, Close-up with Perri Nemiroff. She’s also a Top Critic on Rotten Tomatoes, a proud member of the Critics Choice Association and is a Gold Derby Expert. Perri splits her time between Los Angeles and New York. Wherever the film and television coverage takes her, she goes! Sign in to your Collider account Summary Generate a summary of this story follow Follow followed Followed Like Like Thread Log in Here is a fact-based summary of the story contents: Try something different: Show me the facts Explain it like I’m 5 Give me a lighthearted recap

Welcome to Collider's FYC hub, your best resource for Oscars 2026 predictions. Here, Senior Producer Perri Nemiroff keeps you up to date on the leading contenders based on her knowledge of industry trends and whispers, and her own personal thoughts and instincts. Remember to come back often for updates! The odds are always changing.

Update: November 27, 2025

Now that Thanksgiving is here, nearly every 2026 Oscar contender has screened and Academy Awards precursors are beginning to unveil their nominees. The latest shake-ups? The reactions to Wicked: For Good and the crafts shortlists for the Critics Choice Awards.

After Wicked earned ten nominations, two of which turned into wins, at the 2025 Oscars, it seemed as though the sequel, Wicked: For Good, could be an unstoppable force this time around. However, then the movie started to screen and got a more divisive response than its predecessor. Wicked: For Good currently sits at a 67% on the Tomatometer compared to the first film's 88% score. While I don't think that drop will nudge it out of categories like Best Actress, Best Supporting Actress or even Best Picture, I do suspect it spells the end for individuals who missed out on Oscar nominations last time, like Jon M. Chu for Best Director and Alice Brooks for Cinematopgrahy. However, Wicked: For Good should still be in good shape in other crafts categories, especially after the unveiling of the Critics Choice Association's shortlist across 11 artisan categories.

For the first time ever, the organization unveiled shortlists in select categories ahead of the official nominations announcement on December 5. The film that made the most appearances on those shortlists? Sinners with a whopping 13 mentions. Three films followed behind with nine shortlist appearances — Frankenstein, F1 and Wicked: For Good. And as for studio grand totals, Warners Bros. came out on top thanks to Sinners' strong showing, as well as One Battle After Another and Superman earning a few mentions.

BEST PICTURE

Current Frontrunner: One Battle After Another

Image via Warner Bros.

RANK

FILM

STUDIO

CHANGE

1

One Battle After Another

Warner Bros.

2

Hamnet

Focus Features

3

Sinners

Warner Bros.

⬆️

4

Sentimental Value

Neon

5

Marty Supreme

A24

6

Wicked: For Good

Universal

⬇️

7

Train Dreams

Netflix

⬆️

8

Bugonia

Focus

⬇️

9

It Was Just an Accident

Neon

10

Avatar: Fire and Ash

20th Century

Also in Contention: Jay Kelly, F1, The Secret Agent, Frankenstein, The Testament of Ann Lee

BEST DIRECTOR

Current Frontrunner: Paul Thomas Anderson

Credit: Carlos Tischler/EyePix

RANK

FILM

DIRECTOR

CHANGE

1

One Battle After Another

Paul Thomas Anderson

2

Hamnet

Chloé Zhao

3

Sinners

Ryan Coogler

4

It Was Just an Accident

Jafar Panahi

5

Sentimental Value

Joachim Trier

Also in Contention: James Cameron for Avatar: Fire and Ash, Guillermo del Toro for Frankenstein, Josh Safdie for Marty Supreme

BEST ACTRESS

Current Frontrunner: Jessie Buckley

Jessie Buckley at the Tragedy of Hamlet in HamnetImage via Focus Features

RANK

FILM

ACTRESS

CHANGE

1

Hamnet

Jessie Buckley

2

Sentimental Value

Renate Reinsve

3

Wicked

Cynthia Erivo

⬇️

4

Bugonia

Emma Stone

⬇️

5

If I Had Legs I'd Kick You

Rose Byrne

Also in Contention: Kate Hudson for Song Sung Blue, Amanda Seyfried for The Testament of Ann Lee, Chase Infinitie for One Battle After Another

BEST ACTOR

Current Frontrunner: Timothée Chalamet

Timothée Chalamet in Marty SupremeImage via A24

RANK

FILM

ACTOR

CHANGE

1

Marty Supreme

Timothée Chalamet

2

One Battle After Another

Leonardo DiCaprio

3

Sinners

Michael B. Jordan

4

Train Dreams

Joel Edgerton

⬆️

5

The Secret Agent

Wagner Moura

Also in Contention: Will Arnett for Is This Thing On?, Ethan Hawke for Blue Moon, George Clooney for Jay Kelly

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS

Current Frontrunner: Amy Madigan

Amy Madigan as Aunt Gladys in Zach Cregger's 'Weapons'.Image via Warner Bros

RANK

FILM

ACTRESS

CHANGE

1

Weapons

Amy Madigan

2

One Battle After Another

Teyana Taylor

3

Wicked

Ariana Grande

⬇️

4

Sentimental Value

Elle Fanning

5

One Battle After Another

Regina Hall

Also in Contention: Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas for Sentimental Value, Nina Hoss for Hedda, Gwyneth Paltrow for Marty Supreme, Wunmi Mosaku for Sinners, Hailee Steinfeld for Sinners

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR

Current Frontrunner: Stellan Skarsgård

DO NOT USEImage via Mubi

RANK

FILM

ACTOR

CHANGE

1

Sentimental Value

Stellan Skarsgård

2

One Battle After Another

Sean Penn

3

Hamnet

Paul Mescal

4

One Battle After Another

Benicio del Toro

5

Jay Kelly

Adam Sandler

Also in Contention: Jacob Elordi for Frankenstein, Delroy Lindo for Sinners, Miles Caton for Sinners

BEST ANIMATED FEATURE

Current Frontrunner: KPop Demon Hunters

Three pop stars with matching outfits perform on stage with choreography in KPop Demon Hunters.Image via Netflix

RANK

FILM

Studio

CHANGE

1

KPop Demon Hunters

Netflix

⬆️

2

Arco

Neon

3

Scarlet

Sony Classics

4

Zootopia 2

Disney

⬆️

5

In Your Dreams

Netflix

Also in Contention: Elio, Demon Slayer: Kimetsu no Yaiba – The Movie: Infinity Castle, Ne Zha 2

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY

Current Frontrunner: Sinners

Image via Warner Bros. Pictures

RANK

FILM

WRITER(S)

CHANGE

1

Sinners

Ryan Coogler

2

Marty Supreme

Josh Safdie

3

Sentimental Value

Joachim Trier & Eskil Vogt

4

It Was Just an Accident

Jafar Panahi

5

The Testament of Ann Lee

Brady Corbet & Mona Fastvold

Also in Contention: A House of Dynamite, Is This Thing On?, Jay Kelly

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY

Current Frontrunner: One Battle After Another

Image via Warner Bros. Pictures

RANK

FILM

WRITER(S)

CHANGE

1

One Battle After Another

Paul Thomas Anderson

2

Hamnet

Chloé Zhao

3

Train Dreams

Clint Bentley & Greg Kwedar

⬆️

4

Bugonia

Will Tracy

5

Wake Up Dead Man

Rian Johnson

⬆️

Also in Contention: No Other Choice, Hedda

BEST CASTING

Current Frontrunner: Sinners

Annie (Wunmi Mosaku) and Grace (Li Jun Li) stand in a group and look fearful in Sinners.Image via Warner Bros.

RANK

FILM

CASTING DIRECTOR(S)

CHANGE

1

Sinners

Francine Maisler

2

One Battle After Another

Cassandra Kulukundis

3

Hamnet

Nina Gold

4

Wake Up Dead Man

Bret Howe and Mary Vernieu

⬆️

5

Sentimental Value

Yngvill Kolset Haga and Avy Kaufman

Also in Contention: Wicked: For Good, Nouvelle Vague, The Plague, Marty Supreme

• Movie
• Oscars
• Sinners

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