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Big Ten Rankings and Projections After Week 13

2025-11-27 01:22
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Big Ten Rankings and Projections After Week 13

Wisconsin and Penn State are having a bit of a resurgence.

Big Ten Rankings and Projections After Week 13Story byPeter KehoeThu, November 27, 2025 at 1:22 AM UTC·7 min read

There was one upset in the Big Ten last weekend as Wisconsin beat a previously ranked Illinois team. Penn State showed that their win over Michigan State wasn’t a fluke by convincingly beating what had been a decent Nebraska team. And USC lost their chance at being in the playoffs by losing on the road in Eugene.

Polls

There are still 5 Big Ten teams are ranked in the CFP rankings-and there are 3 are in the top 6. Michigan moved up 3 places and USC’s loss dropped them just 2 places. Here are the Big Ten teams in the CFP:

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  • Ohio State: 1

  • Indiana: 2

  • Oregon: 6

  • Michigan: 15

  • USC: 17

The full list of CFP rankings can be found here: https://collegefootballplayoff.com/rankings.aspx

Here are the ranks in the other two major polls. (AP/Coaches)

  • Ohio State (1/1)

  • Indiana (2/2)

  • Oregon (5/5)

  • Michigan (15/15)

  • USC (19/20)

Washington (#31), Iowa (#32), and Illinois (#37) received votes in the AP poll. Washington (#28), Iowa (#29), and Illinois and Penn State (tied at #34) received votes in the Coaches poll.

On a side note, UC Davis, which UW beat earlier this season, is #11 in the FCS Coaches poll.

Composite Ranking

This week the Massey Composite (https://masseyratings.com/ranks) includes 86 different rankings (as of the writing of this article), including the AP and Coaches polls. The following “Cool Chart” shows the changes since week 7 for the teams in the Big Ten.

(Note that last week the graph had Indiana at #1. That changed after publication as more rankings were added.) For the last month and a half, the same 3 teams have remained at the top of not just the Big Ten, but among the top in all of FBS.

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Michigan State and Purdue remain the bottom 2 teams-that hasn’t changed in the last month. What has changed is Wisconsin. With wins over Washington and Illinois, they have moved up to #12 in the Big Ten (#59 nationally). Penn State has also moved up a lot since week 7; they are now at #36.

At one point this season (week 7), Nebraska was considered a top-25 team. Now they aren’t in the top-40.

About 3/4ths of the rankings in the Massey Composite have UW as a top-25 team.

Other Rankings

The table below lists the rankings for each of the Big Ten teams in 8 different rankings including the Massey Composite (which is used for the chart above). SP+, ESPN’s FPI, FEI, Sagarin, CBS Sports, Kelly Ford (KFord), and SRS.

School

Composite

SP+

FPI

FEI

Sagarin

CBS

KFord

SRS

Illinois

31

32

32

26

31

38

27

25

Indiana

2

2

2

1

4

2

2

3

Iowa

25

21

22

20

21

31

21

22

Maryland

80

68

70

64

80

80

68

72

Michigan

16

22

18

19

22

15

19

16

Michigan State

90

91

67

73

65

87

64

85

Minnesota

61

71

66

71

59

52

63

69

Nebraska

42

39

39

40

45

42

34

54

Northwestern

56

62

56

50

61

55

56

55

Ohio State

1

1

1

2

1

1

1

1

Oregon

4

4

4

3

3

6

4

7

Penn State

36

19

19

18

12

53

15

32

Purdue

100

95

81

79

90

100

75

91

Rutgers

70

72

61

70

64

70

60

66

UCLA

82

85

79

72

76

74

73

76

USC

15

19

11

13

16

18

11

12

Washington

19

15

21

17

19

26

20

17

Wisconsin

59

88

58

52

46

73

55

64

Illinois, Maryland, and Nebraska dropped in all of the rankings, in some cases by more than 10 places. UCLA dropped in all but one (they were unchanged in SP+). Washington and Wisconsin were the only two teams that went up in all of the rankings. Wisconsin went up by more than 10 in half of the rankings. Penn State went up in all but one of the rankings (they were also unchanged in SP+).

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Penn State may have gone up in most of the rankings, but there is still no agreement on where they should be ranked. They are a top-20 team in 5 of the rankings, but then they are #53 in the CBS Sports ranking.

Similarly Wisconsin is as high as #46 in Sagarin’s ranking but #88 in SP+. Michigan State and Purdue are the only other teams that vary by more than 20 places. (Nebraska varies by 20 places.)

Washington is in the top-25 in all but one of the rankings-and they are #26 in that other one.

F+ Rankings

Here are the F+ rankings (combination of FEI and SP+) after the week 13 games.

School

F+ (Overall)

F+ Off

F+ Def

F+ ST

Illinois

27

17

57

13

Indiana

2

7

3

9

Iowa

20

60

7

1

Maryland

66

96

41

29

Michigan

19

25

18

100

Michigan State

77

75

78

101

Minnesota

71

73

64

90

Nebraska

37

53

44

16

Northwestern

58

67

53

19

Ohio State

1

11

1

40

Oregon

3

5

5

28

Penn State

18

20

26

2

Purdue

87

92

80

31

Rutgers

72

36

118

51

UCLA

89

83

92

36

USC

16

3

49

77

Washington

17

15

22

86

Wisconsin

70

111

30

67

The sort-of good news is that UW is not last or even second-to-last in Special Teams; the two Michigan teams hold those ‘honors’. Minnesota is also below UW’s Special Teams.

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Indiana, Ohio State, Oregon, Michigan, and Washington are the teams in the top-25 in both offense and defense. Penn State is close-they are top 25 in offense and #26 in defense.

Week 14 Games

This week all 18 Big Ten teams are in action. This is the first weekend that has been true since October 11 (week 7). Most are playing their rivalry games (I don’t think Maryland-Michigan State is a rivalry game). Here are the win percentages from different sources for each of the games.

Visitor

ESPN FPI

Massey

KFord

SP+

Home

ESPN FPI

Massey

KFord

SP+

Iowa

60.1%

68%

61%

60%

Nebraska

39.9%

32%

39%

40%

Oregon

75.1%

73%

69%

66%

Washington

24.9%

27%

31%

34%

Wisconsin

51.2%

52%

49%

33%

Minnesota

48.8%

48%

51%

67%

UCLA

5.0%

12%

5%

4%

USC

95.0%

88%

95%

96%

Penn State

82.8%

88%

83%

82%

Rutgers

17.2%

12%

17%

18%

Ohio State

78.2%

87%

79%

82%

Michigan

21.8%

13%

21%

18%

Northwestern

27.1%

21%

25%

24%

Illinois

72.9%

79%

75%

76%

Maryland

45.5%

45%

46%

58%

Michigan State

54.5%

55%

54%

42%

Indiana

97.0%

98%

98%

98%

Purdue

3.0%

2%

2%

2%

There is good agreement on all but 2 of the games. The first is with the Minnesota-Wisconsin game. Two of the 4 sites have Wisconsin as the favorite; the other two have Minnesota. The other one is the Maryland-Michigan State game. SP+ has Maryland as the favorite while the other sites have Minnesota as the favorite.

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Final Notes

Normally we would have a good idea of how good or bad teams are after each have played 11 games. But this year that is not the case with some of the teams in the Big Ten. Both Penn State and Wisconsin have played poorly at times, but they also have played much better than their records indicate.

The winner of the Penn State-Rutgers game will be bowl-eligible. The Big Ten will then have 12 teams eligible to play in a bowl game. And it looks like 3 or 4 of the Big Ten teams could make the CFP.

If both Indiana and Ohio State win this weekend, they will play each other in the Big Ten Championship game. If either loses, then either Oregon or Michigan (or both) could sneak into that game.

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There was some debate earlier in the season about whether UW should be ranked in the top 25. But no sooner did they get ranked, they then lost their next game. They are not currently ranked in the top-25 in the major polls, but there should be no question that they will be ranked if they beat Oregon on Saturday (and continue to be unranked if they lose).

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